In uncertain
economic and environmental times, big banks and financial groups are
buying public water systems as safe investments.
Water is the new oil for global
financial powerhouses and water is being commoditized and traded in
global stock exchanges.
Today in addition to being able
to buy water rights and purchase lakes on private land, an individual or
a corporation can invest in water-targeted hedge funds, index funds and
exchange-traded funds (EFTs), water certificates, shares of water
engineering and technology companies, shares of multinational private
water utilities, shares of multinational banks and investment banks that
own water companies, and a host of other newfangled water investments in
this U.S.$425 billion industry which is expected to become a U.S.$1
trillion industry within five years. And if one happens to be a tycoon,
one can also create his or her own private water districts and water
utilities.
The recent media coverage on
water has centered on individual corporations and super-investors
seeking to control water by buying up water rights and water utilities.
But paradoxically the hidden story is a far more complicated one. The
real story of the global water sector is a convoluted one involving
"interlocking globalized capital": Wall Street and global investment
firms, banks, and other elite private-equity firms -- often transcending
national boundaries to partner with each other, with banks and hedge
funds, with technology corporations and insurance giants, with regional
public-sector pension funds, and with sovereign wealth funds -- are
moving rapidly into the water sector to buy up not only water rights and
water-treatment technologies, but also to privatize public water
utilities and infrastructure.
"Water" and "water sector" are
used broadly to refer to water rights (i.e., the right to tap
groundwater, aquifers, and rivers), land with bodies of water on it or
under it (i.e., lakes, ponds, and natural springs on the surface, or
groundwater underneath), water-purification and treatment technologies
(e.g., desalination, treatment chemicals and equipment), irrigation and
well-drilling technologies, water and sanitation services and utilities,
water infrastructure maintenance and construction (from pipes and
distribution to all scales of treatment plants for residential,
commercial, industrial, and municipal uses), water engineering services
(e.g., those involved in the design and construction of water-related
facilities), and retail water sector (such as those involved in the
production, operation, and sales of bottled water, water vending
machines, bottled water subscription and delivery services, water
trucks, and water tankers).
The story is multifaceted: In the
midst of a recessionary economy with a blistering financial and economic
crisis, declining employment, and a shrinking tax base, many financially
strapped and debt-ridden local governments are beginning to relinquish
public infrastructure (including water) and municipal services
(including water and sewage utilities) to privatization by Wall Street
and other global investors.
At the same time, Wall Street and
multinational banks are seeing water, food, energy, and public
infrastructure as safe investment havens with stable returns and
financially liquid assets. Simultaneously, they are waking up to the
golden opportunity presented by the current reality of a thirstier,
water-scarcer world caused by global climate change (and its extreme
weather), rapidly depleting groundwater and aquifers, increasing water
pollution, soaring water demand exerted by population increases,
fast-rising agricultural and industrial uses, and crumbling water
infrastructure worldwide requiring billions of dollars annually in
maintenance and upgrade.
Often, the picture painted by
mainstream media and water-rights activists is too simple -- that of a
single corporation (such as Coca-Cola in India or Bechtel in Bolivia)
"corporatizing water;" the real story is not just of flamboyant tycoons
(such as U.S.'s billionaire and former oil tycoon T. Boone Pickens, or
more recently, Hong Kong's real-estate billionaire Li Kai-shing, or
Britain's magnate Vincent Tchenguiz) single-handedly grabbing water
rights or individual corporations (e.g., Coca-Cola and Nestlé) sucking
dry springs and groundwater to the detriment of poor subsistence farmers
or slum-dwellers, but vastly complex global networks and partnerships of
investment banks and private-equity firms linking together with other
institutions (such as public-sector pension funds in Australia, Canada,
and Europe; and sovereign wealth funds in the Middle East and Asia) and
multinational corporations elsewhere to buy up and control water
worldwide.
Not only are individual
corporations buying up water but a deluge of globalized capital are also
rapidly buying up water and consolidating their foothold in the water
sector; these capital entities are investment powerhouses such as
Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Merrill Lynch (before it was sold to Bank
of America), Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse,
Macquarie Bank, Allianz SE, UBS AG, HSBC Bank, Alinda Capital, The
Carlyle Group, Barclays Bank, Nomura Holdings, and many others. In fact,
Wall Street and their global banking and corporate partners are
aggressively buying up water all over the world.
Given this recent liquid-gold
rush by private (also several public pension-funds) capital, it will be
extremely difficult for environmental activists and human rights
advocates who called water a basic human right and a public good which
should be under public control to reverse this privatization trend.
Naturally, when governments are financially strained by revenue
shortfalls and tightening municipal-bond markets, calls for
privatization of existing public infrastructure and utilities will be
louder and harder to resist.
These banks and investment funds
are aggressively entering the water sector, and they have raised
billions of dollars for their water and infrastructure specialty
investment funds (i.e., index funds, hedge funds) -- and they can
recruit more money (in euro, pound sterling, dollar, RMB/yuan, yen,
Australian or Canadian dollar, and whatever currency needed) within a
short period of time from anywhere in the world, transcending all
boundaries (whether national, ideological, political, linguistic,
religious).
All this water-market reshaping
is occurring in the midst of a global frenzy over privatization of
public infrastructure -- considered to be low-risk investments -- such
as roads, bridges, tunnels, ports, airports, gas, and water and sewage
treatment. Water is one of the critical infrastructures, and Wall Street
knows it. For Wall Street and global capital, water is also so much more
-- it is the new petroleum of this century, an essential commodity to be
invested, owned, controlled, and speculated upon to maximize profit.
Unfortunately, for water users
everywhere, a likely consequence of Wall Street and multinational
corporations' ownership and control of water in the midst of a global
financial and economic crisis is that they will attempt to recapture
their massive losses in their risky investments in the financial and
housing/real estate sectors and elsewhere at the expense of water users.
For example, U.K. water customers
are being squeezed by their private water utilities, to the tune of 17.5
percent to 62.2 percent increases in water rates, and could be paying as
much as £1,000 in annual water bill per household within five years.
Predictably, when Merrill Lynch boasts that its ML China Water Index
yields a 102.2 percent returns, outperforming the benchmark by 70.7
percent during a 12-month period from 2006 to 2007, other multinational
banks will also rush to invest in the water sector because they see it
as a haven with rich rewards and expect these stratospheric returns. One
possible outcome is the squeezing of water end-users.
Private water utilities are
monopolies and they are able to set prices at will (or exert
monopolistic pricing) due to a lack of competition and governmental
regulations. Additionally, water itself is an essential good without a
substitute; demand for water is also inelastic relative to price:
regardless of its cost, one must have minimal amount of freshwater for
maintaining daily life -- for drinking, washing and hygiene, crop
production, and food preparation. (Goldman Sachs sees water consumption
doubling every 20 years.)
If the history of U.K.'s water
privatization is a guide, then water users all over the world -- not
just households, but also businesses, industries, and agriculture -- are
in serious trouble because they will be held hostage to high prices
exerted by the monopolistic private water corporations and water
utilities, many of which are owned by multinational banks and investment
banks, and in turn these banking institutions have their shareholders,
private investors, and even public pension funds demanding and expecting
high returns on their water investments.
Water is more important than oil:
it takes some 1,800 gallons to produce a barrel of crude oil, some 4,000
liters of water to produce a liter of ethanol, and 900 liters of water
to make a liter of biodiesel. Several people have already made the
statement about water being the new oil of the 21st century; recognizing
its importance, Wall Street has rushed into global water markets to cash
in on this liquid gold. The former heads of state, United Nations
chiefs, CIA and Pentagon analysts, CEOs, tycoons, analysts with the
world's largest investment banks and private-equity firms, and oil
companies' executives have agreed on this.
Multinational and Wall Street
banks and investment banks often disguise their investment in the water
sector as a part of the so-called green, sustainable, environmentally
friendly, socially responsible, clean-technology, climate friendly or
global warming-reducing investments. They see "rich rewards" in water
and infrastructure: Indeed, the European Union requires an investment of
between U.S.$150 billion to U.S.$215 billion in sanitation
infrastructure; more than U.S.$700 billion (incidentally, this is also
the amount just given to bail out Wall Street) is needed to maintain and
upgrade its water and sanitation infrastructure in the next 20 years. In
Australia, an estimated AUD$5 billion is needed just to replace aging
water assets in cities over the next five years and that AUD$30 billion
is required to build new water infrastructure in the next decade.
Emerging economies such as China
and India also have such serious water shortages and pollution problems
that they both require at least a trillion dollars of investment to
solve their respective water problems. Water-sector investment
opportunities are also immense in Mexico, Egypt, the Middle East,
Brazil, several African countries, and many other water-stressed
nations.
Why Water Is the "Petroleum
for the 21st Century"
Only 2.5 percent of the earth's
water is freshwater -- and of that 2.5 percent, 70 percent is locked in
the glaciers, ice caps, and aquifers, so less than 1 percent of world's
freshwater (or 0.007 percent of world's water) is accessible and potable
for humanity, to be shared by the world's 6.7 billion people, the
myriads of wildlife and ecosystems, and humans' agriculture and
industries.
Back in 2001, the CIA had already
estimated that by 2015, almost half of the world's population will live
in water-stressed countries. Worldwide, 1.1 billion people lack adequate
water and 2.6 billion people don't have adequate sanitation. By 2025,
the United Nations forecast that 3 billion people will lack clean water.
The Organization for Economic Corporation & Development (OECD) predicts
that nearly 50 percent of the world's population will face severe water
shortages by 2030. In China, some 360 out of 600 cities are facing water
shortages, with 100 facing severe shortages, according to China
Institute for Geo-Environment Monitoring. The first person to serve as
China's Minister of State Environmental Protection Agency, Qu Geping,
said, "The ideal population for China's limited water resources is no
more than 650 million people." China's population is 1.3 million in
2008.
Water is often dubbed "the new
oil" because of its similarity to oil: diminishing supplies and rapidly
growing demand worldwide. The world has already seen many oil wars in
the 20th century over supposed dwindling supplies of natural commodities
and resources. This century, the world has already witnessed the
genocide in Darfur, which was initially brought about by climate-induced
droughts and desertification lasting more than 20 years (since the
1980s), which led to tribal competition over water and grazing land
between Arab nomads and black African farmers; these small-scale
resource conflicts eventually exploded into a full-blown genocide backed
by a racist, genocidal ideology.
Indeed, lobbying group Justice
Africa told BBC in July 2007 that "the root cause of the conflict is
resources -- drought and desertification in North Darfur." In June 2007,
UN Environmental Programme (UNEP) said that peace in Darfur is nearly
impossible unless the issues of environmental destruction were
addressed.
Water is the basis of agriculture
-- not just in growing food, but also in processing food. Water is the
foundation of modern cities and urban sanitation systems -- from our
indoor plumbing to centralized wastewater-treatment plants. Water is the
basis of industries and manufacturing. Water is also used to generate
electricity. Water sustains nature and wildlife. In essence, humanity
can live without oil -- albeit more primitively -- but humanity cannot
survive without water.
Simply put, without water,
there's no agriculture and food production, no industries, no viable
ecosystems, and no life. Major multinational banks and corporations
around the world are waking up to the reality of water's emerging
scarcity, which can disrupt national economies and lead to social and
political chaos. In the midst of global climate change which brings
extreme droughts and in the midst of a chaotic global financial and
economic environment, water is a commodity likened to gold: it is liquid
gold that sustains life. Hence, in the recent few years we have
witnessed a mad rush by Wall Street and multinational banks and
super-investors elsewhere to buy up and control this commodity.
In the past few years,
multinational and Wall Street investment firms and banks have launched
water-targeted investment funds. Several well-known specialized water
funds include Pictet Water Fund, SAM Sustainable Water Fund, Sarasin
Sustainable Water Fund, Swisscanto Equity Fund Water, and Tareno
Waterfund. Several structured water products offered by major investment
banks include ABN Amro Water Stocks Index Certificate, BKB Water Basket,
ZKB Sustainable Basket Water, Wagelin Water Shares Certificate, UBS
Water Strategy Certificate, and Certificate on Vontobel Water Index.
There are also several water indexes and index funds, as follows:
One often-heard reason for the
investment banks' rush to control of water is that, "Utilities are
viewed as relatively safe assets in an economic downturn so [they] are
more isolated than most from the global credit crunch, initially sparked
by concerns over U.S. subprime mortgages," according to a 2007 Reuters
article. A London-based analyst at HSBC Securities told Bloomberg News
that water is a good investment because, "You're buying something that's
inflation proof and there's no threat to earnings really. It's very
stable and you can sell it any time you want.''
The Coming Tidal Wave of
Privatization of Public Infrastructure and Municipal Services
Privatization of public
infrastructure -- including water utilities -- has been gaining more
mainstream media scrutiny recently. For example, the New York Times
recently reported on cities debating the issue of privatization of
public infrastructure: Wall Street investment banks and investors --
such as Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Credit Suisse, Kohlberg Kravis
Roberts, and the Carlyle Group -- are amassing an estimated U.S.$250
billion "war chest -- much of it raised in the last two year -- to
finance a tidal wave of infrastructure projects in the United States and
overseas," the New York Times reported.
As the New York Times pointed out
correctly, U.S. federal, state, and local governments are financially
strained with "mounting deficits that have curbed their ability to
improve crumbling roads, bridges and even airports with taxpayer money,"
hence both the voting public and the governments are increasingly open
to the idea of privatizing public infrastructure; the crumbling
infrastructure is estimated to require at least U.S.$1.6 trillion
investment in the next five years to maintain and upgrade according to
the American Society of Civil Engineers.
Currently, approximately 8
percent of water utilities worldwide are in private hands; this figure
is expected to double by 2015, according to several investment-banking
analysts. As for water corporations (e.g., those in technology and
engineering, materials and equipment, vending and private distribution
via water trucks), all are in private hands. According to data compiled
by Bloomberg, the rate of infrastructure privatization for all types of
infrastructure almost doubled to U.S.$340 billion between 2005 and 2007.
The New York Times also reported
that many cities suffering severe financial strains after having been
shut out of the municipal bond markets are cutting back infrastructure
upgrade and maintenance projects. Cities are also facing revenue
shortfalls attributable to unprecedented housing foreclosures (shrinking
property-tax base), decreased employment base, dwindling sales taxes,
and reduced funding from state and federal governments. For example,
Athens-Clarke County in Georgia delayed a U.S.$221 million bond issue
for upgrading its three sewage-treatment plants after Lehman Brothers
filed for bankruptcy.
Given the current state of
economy in the United States and elsewhere in the world, we can expect
more municipal infrastructure and services privatization. Goldman Sachs,
Citigroup, the Carlyle Group, AIG Highstar Capital, Credit Suisse (also
partnering with GE), UBS AG, JPMorgan Chase, Deutsche Bank, and other
multinational banks are amassing "war chests" of several billions of
dollars in anticipation of this "tidal wave" of infrastructure
(including water) privatization around the world.
Jo-Shing Yang is the author of
Ecological Planning, Design, & Engineering, Solving Global Water Crises:
New Paradigms in Wastewater and Water Treatment, Small and On-Site
Systems for Water Self-Sufficiency and Sustainability and can be
reached at jsyang@alum.mit.edu.